Wednesday, January 7, 2009

ADP Sees December US private Sector Job

ADP Sees December US Private Sector Jobs -693,000

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Private sector jobs fell 693,000 in the U.S. in December, according to a revamped national employment report published Wednesday by payroll giant Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) and consultancy Macroeconomic Advisers.

That's far higher than the 515,000 loss forecast in a Dow Jones Newswires survey.

The December ADP survey is the first to incorporate a major overhaul of the methodology, including new regressions. The changes were introduced because the ADP survey has underestimated the monthly number of job losses as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics since the recession began in December 2007.

For instance, under the old calculations, the ADP Survey showed a loss of 250,000 private-sector jobs in November. The new methodology shows a 476,000 job drop in November, closer to the 533,000 reported by the BLS.

The ADP survey tallies only private-sector jobs while the BLS data include government workers. Based on recent public-sector job growth, Wednesday's ADP report suggests December nonfarm payrolls will show a loss of at least 650,000 when the BLS reports the data on Friday.

The new report showed businesses with 500 employees and more shed 91,000 jobs and medium-sized businesses lost 321,000 jobs in December. Small businesses that employ fewer than 50 workers cut 281,000 jobs.

Manufacturing employment dropped 120,000 in December, while service sector jobs fell 473,000.

The ADP employment report provides a snapshot of the private sector job market just ahead of the official U.S. payrolls report, which will be published Friday. ADP's report doesn't include government jobs, which have been rising this year while private jobs have been lost.

ADP, of Roseland, N.J., claims to process the payment of one in six U.S. workers, while Macroeconomic Advisers, based in St. Louis, is an economic consulting firm. The firms release this indicator each month at 8:15 a.m. ET on the Wednesday prior to the release of the Labor Department's Employment Situation report.

-By Matthew Cowley, Dow Jones Newswires; 201 938 5692; matthew.cowley@dowjones.com

(Kathleen Madigan contributed to this report)


(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 07, 2009 08:26 ET (13:26 GMT)


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