update 17/03/09

just pandangan untuk geppy hari ini...price close still above weekly pivot...trend maseh nampak bullish...di jangka gj akan mencuba 140.50...jika gj tidak break 137.30 hari ini...

Money Management....

Don't Lose Your Shirt

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Here is a little illustration that will show you the difference between risking a small percentage of your capital compared to risking a higher percentage.

You can see that there is a big difference between risking 2% of your account compared to risking 10% of your account on a single trade. If you happened to go through a losing streak and lost only 19 trades in a row, you would’ve went from starting with $20,000 to having only $3,002 left if you risked 10% on each trade. You would’ve lost over 85% of your account! If you risked only 2% you would’ve still had $13,903 which is only a 30% loss of your total account.

Of course, the last thing we want to do is lose 19 trades in a row, but even if you only lost 5 trades in a row, look at the difference between risking 2% and 10%. If you risked 2% you would still have $18,447. If you risked 10% you would only have $13,122. That’s less than what you would’ve had even if you lost all 19 trades and risked only 2% of your account!

The point of this illustration is that you want to setup your money management rules so that when you do have a drawdown period (losing streak) you will still have enough capital to stay in the game. Can you imagine if you lost 85% of your account? You would have to make 566% on what you are left with in order to get back to break even. Trust me, you do NOT want to be in that position. In fact, here is a chart that will illustrate what percentage you would have to make to breakeven if you were to lose a certain percentage of your account.

You can see that the more you lose, the harder it is to make it back to your original account size. This is all the more reason that you should do everything you can to protect your account.

So by now, I hope you have gotten it drilled in your head that you should only risk a small percentage of your account in each trade so that you can survive your losing streaks and also to avoid a large drawdown in your account. Remember, you want to be the casino…NOT the gambler!

Weekly Preview 9 - 13 /09 ..

Pandangan market minggu ini maseh lagi ke arah mood correction...di mana market bergerak pada (135.xx-144.xx) kedudukan correction yg besar utk percubaan ke Fibo 23.6% (144.59).Walau bagaimana pun pergerakan ini akan terbatas sekira nya price breakout diagonal support... 135.13 trend correction tidak valid lagi..Good Luck